Monday, August 24, 2009

Every Generation Has Its Crash

From financing the War of 1812 to today's internet and biotechnology companies, Wall Street has played a very significant role in both the American economy and its welfare. In the 19th and early 20th century, the American economy would go through repetitive periods of boom and bust, and on numerous occasions, specific names on Wall Street would be actively involved. Figures such as Cornelius Vanderbilt, Daniel Drew, Jay Gould, J.P. and Jack Morgan in their heydays controlled vast economic fortunes, and with the touch of a hand, could bring Wall Street to its knees.

The gold corner of 1869 was such an example. With the aid of Jim Fisk and Daniel Drew, Jay Gould decided to corner the gold market of the United States. There was only one problem. The U.S. Treasury had approximately $100 million worth of gold secured at Fort Knox, and any attempt to corner the gold market would require the Treasury to stay away. Gould's vast political connections (one of whom was the President, Ulysses Grant) ensured that. By the time they had accumulated all the gold they had intended to (Gould alone bought $7 million), the premium on gold was 160%. This forced the short-sellers to cover, which stabilized the price of gold at about that price. Gould sold all his holdings at the top of the market and made a profit of $10 million. The Treasury did not intervene until several days later, and the fallout was great. Several firms on Wall Street failed, and the stock market collapsed as a result -- which in turn caused numerous brokerage firms to fail.

The panic of 1907 brought out a single savior -- not the Treasury, nor the Federal Reserve (which did not exist then), but J.P. Morgan. The stock market had a very high valuation going into 1907. From March to October, the stock market fell continuously, and in late October, the impending failure of the Knickerbocker Trust Company caused a run on its already depleted funds. The company was left to fail, but Morgan, along with other well-known bankers, provided the funds necessary (>$25 million) to prop up the other major trust institutions. At the same time, the Treasury was propping up the stock market with its own funds. When they ran out, they had to ask Morgan for help. Morgan provided a further $25 million. Without his aid, the NYSE would have to shut down.

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